I notice a poor quality of fishing indeed, but what I noticed more is poor quality of the fish themselves. This year at SCF, numbers were WAY down, but so was the overall appearance and health of the crappie. They didn't look like the beautiful, contrasting black/white speckled fish that normally come out of Roosevelt. They didn't look much like the healthy and plentiful crappie that came out of Alamo this year either.
Of all the factors, the gizzard shad invasion and threadfin shad population decline (supported by AZGFD surveys last and this year), makes the most sense to me. Alamo has been amazing for folks this year, and threadfin were/are everywhere! I saw some threadfin at SCF, but not near as many as in the past. I also noted there aren't near as many grebes as there was a few years ago. Maybe it's a coincidence, maybe not. The number of cormorants/grebes eating small fish has to be making a dent.
Spawning conditions may not be ideal but they never have been, consistently at least. The lake has always gone up and down since it was dammed up in 1905. It was just a few years ago the lake was full, so in theory there should be boat loads of age 3-4 slab crappie. Comparing them to other lakes as well, I just don't buy the spawning conditions, at least not as a major factor.
I also don't think over fishing is a factor either. We would have been seeing and hearing about a lot more success in the last 3 years. Not to mention, Roosevelt is huge. Far fewer fisherman are hitting that lake in the last couple years than they were a decade ago.
I completely agree with Tweeder above that the lake is in an imbalance. Predator/prey populations have always cycled back and forth and the crappie will bounce back eventually too, but it's going to take time.
In the meantime, I'm hoping the gizzard shad level out to a reasonable population, the threadfin population increases back in their place, bow fisherman continue to shoot the buffalo and carp that compete with game fish fry on plankton resources, more habitat is placed in useful locations, and people release the h'ordeuvres instead of feeling entitled to keep them since they spent so much on gas and bait to get them in the boat.
If we hear that there is something we as fisherman can do to help, it will be posted on the site.